MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for June 12, 2024

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Colorado Rockies (23-43)
Minnesota Twins (35-31)
Austin Gomber
Pablo López
35.2%
64.8%
+203
-225
+210
-230
+1½+105
-1½-117
+1½-105
-1½-110
2.86
4.40
7.26
o8-108
u8-102
o8-110
u8-110
Toronto Blue Jays (32-34)
Milwaukee Brewers (39-27)
Chris Bassitt
Tobias Myers
44.9%
55.1%
-104
-103
-102
-107

+1½-200
-1½+185
4.06
4.59
8.65
o8½-118
u8½+102
o8½-110
u8½+105
Houston Astros (30-37)
San Francisco Giants (33-34)
Framber Valdez
Logan Webb
48.6%
51.4%
+101
-105
-102
-105

+1½-210
-1½+192
3.95
4.09
8.04
o7-125
u7½-117
o7½+100
u7½-115
Oakland Athletics (26-42)
San Diego Padres (35-35)
Hogan Harris
Michael King
34.3%
65.7%
+167
-178
+170
-180
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+117
3.16
4.78
7.94
o8-103
u8-113
o7½-120
u8-115
Atlanta Braves (35-28)
Baltimore Orioles (43-22)
Spencer Schwellenbach
Cade Povich
42.5%
57.5%
+114
-117
+110
-120
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.02
4.82
8.84
o9-113
u9-103
o9-115
u9-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Washington Nationals (30-35)
Detroit Tigers (32-33)
Jake Irvin
Reese Olson
42.7%
57.3%
+122
-129
+120
-130
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+162
3.26
4.03
7.29
o7½-110
u7½-103
o8+105
u8-120
Chicago Cubs (32-34)
Tampa Bay Rays (31-35)
Javier Assad
Aaron Civale
49.1%
50.9%
+104
-114
+106
-112
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-185
-1½+179
3.84
3.93
7.77
o7½-110
u7½-103
o7½-105
u8-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (22-43)
New York Mets (28-36)
Braxton Garrett
David Peterson
42.3%
57.7%
+133
-142
+130
-140
+1½-165
-1½+147
+1½-165
-1½+150
3.74
4.55
8.29
o8+102
u7½+100
o7½-120
u7½+100
Philadelphia Phillies (45-20)
Boston Red Sox (33-33)
Cristopher Sánchez
Nick Pivetta
51.8%
48.2%
-117
+108
-113
+108
-1½+142
+1½-162
-1½+144
+1½-160
4.34
4.15
8.49
o8½-105
u8½-105
o8½-105
u8½-105
Cleveland Guardians (42-22)
Cincinnati Reds (32-34)
Tanner Bibee
Nick Lodolo
48.1%
51.9%
+107
-113
+105
-112
+1½-197
-1½+180
+1½-185
-1½+175
3.66
3.86
7.52
o8½+100
u8½-113
o8½+105
u8½-110
Pittsburgh Pirates (31-34)
St. Louis Cardinals (31-33)
Bailey Falter
Sonny Gray
41.1%
58.9%
+152
-161
+152
-165
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+128
3.13
4.07
7.20
o8-103
u8-113
o7½-115
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Yankees (47-21)
Kansas City Royals (39-28)
Cody Poteet
Dan Altavilla
53.8%
46.2%




5.12
4.73
9.85


Chicago White Sox (17-50)
Seattle Mariners (38-30)
Jonathan Cannon
Bryce Miller
27.5%
72.5%
+207
-228
+210
-230
+1½-103
-1½-115
+1½-109
-1½-109
2.41
4.75
7.16
o7½+100
u7½-113
o7½-105
u7½-115
Los Angeles Angels (25-40)
Arizona Diamondbacks (31-35)
José Soriano
Slade Cecconi
42.5%
57.5%
+130
-142
+129
-140
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-157
-1½+140
3.86
4.64
8.50
o9+100
u9-120
o9+105
u9-115
Texas Rangers (31-34)
Los Angeles Dodgers (41-26)
Undecided Undecided
Walker Buehler
36.2%
63.8%




3.74
5.19
8.93


Games for Jun 11, 2024
Games for Jun 13, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Dodgers
38.2%
61.8%
+148
-158
+150
-159
+1½-136
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+135
2
15
-0.50587-0.50173-0.48127
Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants
51.5%
48.5%
+105
-114
+109
-113


3
1
-0.73814-0.74611-0.66281
Oakland Athletics
San Diego Padres
43.4%
56.6%
+142
-152
+142
-150
+1½-153
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+136
3
4
-0.52182-0.52396-0.56830
Los Angeles Angels
Arizona Diamondbacks
39.7%
60.3%
+139
-149
+142
-146
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+131
4
9
-0.53018-0.52841-0.50531
Chicago White Sox
Seattle Mariners
30.4%
69.6%
+158
-168
+166
-173
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+115
3
4
-0.48138-0.46577-0.36284
Toronto Blue Jays
Milwaukee Brewers
50.0%
50.0%
-112
+105
-114
+110
-1½+147
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-155
3
0
-0.65406-0.63864-0.69359
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
53.6%
46.4%
-126
+117
-125
+120
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
10
1
-0.60245-0.59784-0.62399
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
53.3%
46.7%
-138
+131
-137
+130
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-150
2
1
-0.55767-0.56084-0.62888
Colorado Rockies
Minnesota Twins
41.2%
58.8%
+180
-190
+185
-200
+1½-110
-1½-103
+1½-115
-1½+100
5
4
-1.04185-1.06470-0.88705
Cleveland Guardians
Cincinnati Reds
53.4%
46.6%
+101
-107
+100
-105

-1½+150
+1½-160
5
3
-0.71245-0.70528-0.62717
Philadelphia Phillies
Boston Red Sox
57.8%
42.2%
-148
+145
-150
+147
-1½+102
+1½-118
-1½+110
+1½-115
4
1
-0.52115-0.51567-0.54752
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
44.8%
55.2%
+139
-147
+142
-145
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
2
-0.88474-0.88882-0.80191
Chicago Cubs
Tampa Bay Rays
47.3%
52.7%
+123
-126
+131
-128
+1½-173
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
2
5
-0.59019-0.57160-0.64071
Washington Nationals
Detroit Tigers
49.1%
50.9%
+102
-111
+102
-109
+1½-207
-1½+180
+1½-204
-1½+190
5
4
-0.72400-0.71953-0.71119
Atlanta Braves
Baltimore Orioles
50.9%
49.1%
-134
+127
-137
+130
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
0
4
-0.83287-0.84567-0.71088
Houston Astros
San Francisco Giants
43.4%
56.6%
-112
+106
-110
+103
-1½+150
+1½-148
-1½+150
+1½-165
3
4
-0.73635-0.72433-0.56909
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.65992 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.65830 
DRatings1510-5 (0.667)0-0.63023
0.02969
0.02808

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.